Brainerd, MN short-term rental market report (2026)
Crow Wing County, Minnesota. Rules, revenue, home values, demand, climate, reach and risk, each figure with its source.
- RulesModerate (3/5)
- 4-BR typical value$439K
- FEMA riskRelatively Low
- Demand drivers within 50 mi1
- People within 300 mi9.4 million
- ClimateSki-plus-summer
Everything STR HUB holds on Brainerd, MN in one place, in the order an investor needs it: whether you can operate, what the numbers are, why and when people come, who can reach it, and what could go wrong.
Every figure comes from a named dataset listed under Sources and method, dated September 21, 2026. Where we do not hold a figure, that part of the report is left out rather than estimated. The Opportunity Score here is partial: it was calculated without revenue data, with the cash-flow component assumed to be below average, so it can understate the market.
Can you operate in Brainerd?
| Rule | What we hold on file |
|---|---|
| Jurisdiction | Crow Wing County (Planning & Zoning / Land Services) for unincorporated areas and contracting cities; individual cities (e.g., Breezy Point, Crosslake) may instead regulate independently or opt into the county's ordinance by contract. |
| Permit or licence | Annual Short-Term Rental License through Crow Wing County Land Services, required for any property in the county's planning/zoning jurisdiction (or a contracting city); cities can instead opt to regulate independently. |
| Permit fee | $100 per advertised bedroom, per year. |
| Occupancy limit | Tied to verified septic system capacity for the property's maximum occupancy, rather than a flat number. |
| Lodging and sales taxes | 6.875% Minnesota state sales tax + local lodging tax (rate not confirmed). |
Rules for Brainerd last verified September 20, 2026. Rules change, and a city rating does not cover HOA or deed restrictions. Confirm current requirements with the jurisdiction before you buy or list.
Which way the rules are moving
Stable. The rules we hold report no recent or pending change.
Confirm the current position with the jurisdiction in writing before you buy or list.
Classified from the regulation text we publish; a direction is only kept when the sentence it rests on appears word for word in that text.
The numbers
We have not verified revenue figures for this market yet.
Home values in Crow Wing County
Zillow Home Value Index: county-wide typical values for Crow Wing County, not list prices. A specific property can sit well above or below them.
What it costs to own
Screening figures, not a bill or a quote. The tax rate is a county-wide median for owner-occupied homes (U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 2018-2022); second homes and rentals are often taxed more heavily, and a purchase usually resets the assessed value. Expected annual loss is from the FEMA National Risk Index.
Housing market momentum
County-level, for-sale housing market: it says nothing directly about STR bookings. A relative ranking among tracked markets, not a forecast. Sources: Realtor.com Economic Research, U.S. Census Bureau, Zillow Home Value Index.
Why people come
One demand driver sits within 50 miles of Brainerd. Ordered by published attendance. Attendance appears only where a source publishes it.
Outdoor activities
- Cuyuna Lakes Mountain Bike Trails
- When
- Late spring through fall; groomed fat-bike riding in winter.
- STR angle
- A textbook case of trails reviving a mining town: riders from the Twin Cities come for weekends. Small houses and cabins in Crosby and Ironton with bike storage fit, and the Brainerd lakes region is next door.
When they come
Ski-plus-summer climate: at least three months bring six inches or more of snowfall, and May to September is comfortable. 5 of 12 months have an average high between 60°F and 88°F, and 5 months average six inches or more of snow. Warmest month: July (average high 81°F). Coldest: February (average low 2°F).
- Jan20°5°ColdSnow
- Feb21°2°ColdSnow
- Mar37°19°ColdSnow
- Apr49°30°CoolSnow
- May65°45°Comfortable
- Jun79°60°Comfortable
- Jul81°63°Comfortable
- Aug78°62°Comfortable
- Sep71°55°Comfortable
- Oct53°40°Cool
- Nov39°25°Cold
- Dec28°13°ColdSnow
| Month | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average high (°F) | 20 | 21 | 37 | 49 | 65 | 79 | 81 | 78 | 71 | 53 | 39 | 28 |
| Average low (°F) | 5 | 2 | 19 | 30 | 45 | 60 | 63 | 62 | 55 | 40 | 25 | 13 |
| Precipitation (in) | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 3.4 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| Snowfall (in) | 6.1 | 6.4 | 7.7 | 6.0 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4 | 4.9 | 11.4 |
| Sunshine (hours a day) | 5.2 | 7.3 | 8.1 | 8.1 | 10.4 | 13.0 | 13.1 | 11.5 | 9.4 | 6.6 | 5.5 | 4.5 |
This is climate and events, not booking data. Monthly normals are 2019-2023 averages from the Open-Meteo Historical Weather API (ERA5 reanalysis) at the market pin. We do not hold monthly occupancy or rate data for this market.
Who can reach it
Largest counties within 150 miles
| County | Population |
|---|---|
| Hennepin County, MN | 1,270,787 |
| Ramsey County, MN | 547,202 |
| Dakota County, MN | 439,179 |
County populations (U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 2018-2022) summed for every county whose centre lies within each straight-line radius. Straight lines are shorter than roads, so read these as generous upper bounds, not drive-time counts.
What could go wrong
| Hazard | FEMA rating | Score (0-100) |
|---|---|---|
| River flooding | Relatively Moderate | 84.2 |
| Wildfire | Relatively Low | 76.1 |
| Hail | Relatively Moderate | 73.5 |
| Tornado | Relatively Low | 61.3 |
| Winter weather | Relatively Low | 58.7 |
| Earthquake | Very Low | 10.9 |
This is a county-level index, not an insurance quote or a flood-zone determination. A coastal or wildfire-fringe rental can carry far more exposure than its county average suggests. FEMA does not model hurricane and coastal flooding for this county, which is not the same as zero risk. Get property-level flood, wind and wildfire quotes before you buy.
Market context
Housing and jobs in Crow Wing County
U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2018-2022. Vacation-home share is housing units held for seasonal, recreational or occasional use. All three describe the whole county, not one town or neighbourhood.
What is within 15 km of the Brainerd pin
Counts of features mapped in OpenStreetMap within 15 km of the market pin. A fixed radius favours dense metros, and map coverage varies by area.
Similar markets
The 4 tracked markets whose numbers sit closest to Brainerd's. Each links to its own report.
Closest by normalised distance across the figures both markets hold (typical 4BR value, revenue, occupancy, regulation rating, vacation-home share, tourism job share, 4+ bedroom share, amenity score, population within 300 miles, comfortable months and FEMA risk score). At most 2 of the 4 come from Minnesota, so the list is not just the neighbours. Similar numbers do not mean similar rules: check each market's regulation section.
See Brainerd on the map
Open Brainerd on the National STR Map to see it against its neighbours, switch overlays and run the deal calculator on your own assumptions.
Brainerd STR questions, answered from the data
Is Airbnb legal in Brainerd?
STR HUB rates Brainerd's short-term rental rules 3/5 (Moderate) on a scale from 1 (relaxed) to 5 (very strict). That rating was derived from the regulation text we hold and has not yet been reviewed by a person. Permit rule on file: Annual Short-Term Rental License through Crow Wing County Land Services, required for any property in the county's planning/zoning jurisdiction (or a contracting city); cities can instead opt to regulate independently. Rules change, so confirm current requirements with the local jurisdiction before you buy or list.
How much does a 4-bedroom home cost in Brainerd?
The typical 4-bedroom home in Crow Wing County is valued at $439,374 (Zillow Home Value Index), and the typical home of any size at $372,726, with all-home values up 3.5% over the past year. These are county-wide typical values, not list prices.
What brings visitors to Brainerd?
One demand driver sits within 50 miles of Brainerd: Cuyuna Lakes Mountain Bike Trails. Attendance is shown only where a source publishes it, and each driver's source is linked in the report.
What natural hazards affect Brainerd?
FEMA's National Risk Index rates Crow Wing County "Relatively Low" overall, with a score of 77.5 out of 100 (a national percentile). The highest-scoring hazards we track there are river flooding and wildfire. It is a county-wide index, not an insurance quote or a flood-zone determination.
When is the weather best in Brainerd?
5 of 12 months have an average high between 60°F and 88°F (May, June, July, August and September). Ski-plus-summer climate: at least three months bring six inches or more of snowfall, and May to September is comfortable. These are 2019-2023 climate normals, not booking data.
Sources and method
- Regulation summary and strictness rating: STR Agent HUB regulation research (official source: crowwing.gov).
- Home values: Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI), county level. Data provided by Zillow Group.
- Housing, employment and population figures: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey (ACS) 5-year estimates, 2018-2022.
- Natural hazard risk: FEMA National Risk Index, county level.
- Amenity counts: © OpenStreetMap contributors.
- Climate normals: Open-Meteo Historical Weather API (CC BY 4.0), 2019-2023 averages.
- Demand drivers: each entry links its own published source in the list above.
Figures come from the STR HUB national dataset dated September 21, 2026 and this page is regenerated whenever that dataset is rebuilt. County-level figures describe Crow Wing County as a whole, not one street or neighbourhood. The Opportunity Score (0-100) is a screening heuristic that weighs revenue (35%), regulatory climate (25%), tourism employment (15%), nearby amenities (15%) and large-home supply (10%) relative to the other tracked markets.
Confirm before you act. Short-term rental rules change. Confirm current requirements with the jurisdiction, and work with a licensed local agent who knows which properties can legally operate. This report is screening data, not investment, legal or tax advice.
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